New Delhi. The Indian cricket team’s hopes of reaching the semi-finals were dealt a blow after losing the first two matches in the ICC T20 World Cup 2021. India had to face defeat in its first match by 10 wickets at the hands of Pakistan (IND vs PAK) and in the second match by 8 wickets at the hands of New Zealand (IND vs NZ). But the ‘Men in Blue’ have brought their campaign back on track with a resounding victory against Afghanistan (IND vs AFG) in their third match. Virat Kohli & Co beat Afghanistan by 66 runs to register their first win in the competition.
With a huge win margin, India managed to significantly improve the Net Run Rate (NRR) from -1.609 to +0.073. After this crushing defeat from India, Afghanistan’s NRR fell from +3.097 to +1.481. Now the Indian cricket team has to win its remaining two games against Scotland and Namibia. The Indian team still needs other results to qualify for the semi-finals. India can qualify for the semi-finals even after the first two losses, but how? Let’s know the complete equation:
– India would need to lose to New Zealand’s Namibia or Afghanistan to have any hope of a place in the semi-finals. If New Zealand wins both their remaining matches, it will join Pakistan in the semi-finals.
– If New Zealand defeats Namibia and loses to Afghanistan. And at the same time, if India wins both its games, then India, New Zealand and Afghanistan will be seen in the same points table.
India will have an opportunity to increase its net run rate against Scotland and Namibia. Even a small margin of Afghanistan’s win against New Zealand would give them a big chance of making the last four.
However, calculations can be tricky as both New Zealand and Afghanistan currently have better net run rates than India. Therefore, the ‘Men in Blue’ will hope that even if New Zealand beat Namibia, they will be able to do so by a small margin.
Similarly, the Indian cricket team will support Afghanistan when they face the Kiwis. A big win for the Afghans could derail India’s hopes of finishing second in the margin group.
– A possible scenario for India is that India beat Scotland and Namibia by 60+ runs or chased down totals within 13 overs in both games. After which if Afghanistan beat New Zealand by less than 9 runs and Kiwi team beat Namibia by less than 84 runs, then it will be enough for Virat Kohli’s team to make it to the semi-finals.
– India have the advantage of playing the last game in the group, which means when they take the field against Namibia, they will know exactly what they need to do to reach the semi-finals.